As 2025 begins, the EU stands at a pivotal crossroads, confronting complex geopolitical challenges while striving to bolster its security and enhance economic competitiveness. The return of Donald Trump to the White House introduces uncertainties regarding the reliability of traditional alliances. Meanwhile, the ongoing Russian war on Ukraine continues to underscore the dangers of relying on fossil fuels, especially from authoritarian governments.
The swift implementation of initiatives like REPowerEU, developed in response to the war in Ukraine, highlights the EU’s awareness of the need to reduce its fossil energy dependency and also its capability to prioritise renewable energy, electrification and energy efficiency. Despite these actions, the EU’s energy imports still amounted to almost 400 billion EUR in 2024. This means that more than 2% of the EU’s entire GDP get transferred to economies outside of the EU. Put in other terms: the average EU household pays 2,000€ per year for imported fossil fuels.
As President von der Leyen embarks on her second term, the forthcoming Clean Industrial Deal is poised to be a cornerstone of her agenda, and it will have to identify ways of securing supplies of clean energy and clean technology. The newly appointed Commissioner for Energy and Housing, Dan Jørgensen, is charged with developing an action plan to reduce energy prices for households and businesses, creating a road map for the continued reduction of Russian fossil fuel imports, as well as advance an Electrification Action Plan to ensure the EU’s industrial transition to net-zero. There is a clear recognition for action – but where exactly are changes needed?
Experts at the European Climate Neutrality Observatory (ECNO) have analysed where the EU stands in making the transition to a clean and competitive energy system, looking at the enabling conditions needed to get there. ECNO experts have identified key areas in which it must go further and faster, which should be addressed by EU policymakers. These include renewable energy rollout, electrification, energy efficiency, as well as modernising the electricity grid and improving flexibility. The EU must speed up its efforts to enhance resilience and reduce economic vulnerabilities.